http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?action=history&feed=atom&title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1 2026-07-28T17:59:52Z 本 Wiki 上此頁面的修訂歷史 MediaWiki 1.35.1 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11061&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T09:20:51Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">更新</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 09:20 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l244" >行 244：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 244：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===更新===</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===更新===</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">由於此次為圖解：如何推估台北市的教育預算規模，回顧之前 ChatGpt 在協算推估模型時，發現 ChatGpt 犯了單位使用錯誤的 Bug 。導致結案報告 P12 頁下方「「各縣市公保＋勞保、與114教育經費關係圖」中的單位是錯的，須要換圖。連帶 2025county.xlsx 中，H18 欄的倍率應由 1.1 調整為 1.188 ，而 I18 欄 6.6 億應調整為 18 億，一併更新替換。</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11060:rev-11061 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11060&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T08:55:21Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">修正方法二：運用回歸線</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 08:55 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l242" >行 242：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 242：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div># 經查 114 年台北市的實際教育支出規模高於 21 縣市的回歸線預測值 114 億，即通過台北市的「公勞保人數與俸額積_教育支出規模」關係線高出 21 縣市的回歸線約 114 億。</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div># 經查 114 年台北市的實際教育支出規模高於 21 縣市的回歸線預測值 114 億，即通過台北市的「公勞保人數與俸額積_教育支出規模」關係線高出 21 縣市的回歸線約 114 億。</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div># 回推：能造成 114 億支出規模差異的「公勞保人數與俸額積」約為 18 億。所以台北市外加 18 億的「公勞保人數與俸額積」到總「公勞保人數與俸額積」之中。</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div># 回推：能造成 114 億支出規模差異的「公勞保人數與俸額積」約為 18 億。所以台北市外加 18 億的「公勞保人數與俸額積」到總「公勞保人數與俸額積」之中。</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">===更新===</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11059:rev-11060 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11059&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T08:53:25Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">修正方法二：運用回歸線</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 08:53 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l238" >行 238：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 238：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===修正方法二：運用回歸線===</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===修正方法二：運用回歸線===</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_運用回歸線.svg&#039; width=700 height=428.8 /&gt;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_運用回歸線.svg&#039; width=700 height=428.8 /&gt;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"># 假定：台北市人事費與教育支出規模兩者之間的關係，與其他縣市並沒有本質性的不同，只是台北市多養了一所大學，所以系統性地高於其他 21 縣市的回歸線，處於另一條高於 21 縣市的回歸線的平行線之上(紅線)。</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"># 經查 114 年台北市的實際教育支出規模高於 21 縣市的回歸線預測值 114 億，即通過台北市的「公勞保人數與俸額積_教育支出規模」關係線高出 21 縣市的回歸線約 114 億。</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"># 回推：能造成 114 億支出規模差異的「公勞保人數與俸額積」約為 18 億。所以台北市外加 18 億的「公勞保人數與俸額積」到總「公勞保人數與俸額積」之中。</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11058:rev-11059 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11058&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T08:39:03Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">修正方法一：倍率圖</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 08:39 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l235" >行 235：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 235：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div># 若換算金額：</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div># 若換算金額：</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>#:720.77−606.62=114.15億元</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>#:720.77−606.62=114.15億元</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">===修正方法二：運用回歸線===</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_運用回歸線.svg&#039; width=700 height=428.8 /&gt;</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11055:rev-11058 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11055&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T06:04:48Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">修正方法一：倍率圖</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 06:04 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l226" >行 226：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 226：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===修正方法一：倍率圖===</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===修正方法一：倍率圖===</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_實際值除以預測值倍率圖.png&#039; width=600 height=348 /&gt;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_實際值除以預測值倍率圖.png&#039; width=600 height=348 /&gt;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">由此得知：</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"># 臺北市確實是所有縣市中偏離回歸線最大的。</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"># 臺北市教育經費約為模型預測值的 118.8%。</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">#:即，比依照「公保+勞保」推估的教育經費高出：</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">#:(1.188−1)×100%=18.8%</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">#:即，臺北市的 114 年教育經費約比同樣公保+勞保規模的其他縣市高出 114 億元，約高出 18.8%。</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"># 若換算金額：</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">#:720.77−606.62=114.15億元</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11054:rev-11055 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11054&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T05:49:41Z

<p></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 05:49 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l225" >行 225：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 225：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===修正方法一：倍率圖===</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===修正方法一：倍率圖===</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_實際值除以預測值倍率圖.png&#039; width=600 height=348 /&gt;</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11053:rev-11054 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11053&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T05:46:26Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">取線性回歸</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 05:46 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l223" >行 223：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 223：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;br/&gt;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;br/&gt;</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_縣市殘差排名.png&#039; width=600 height=400 /&gt;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_縣市殘差排名.png&#039; width=600 height=400 /&gt;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">===修正方法一：倍率圖===</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11052:rev-11053 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11052&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T05:39:57Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">縣新殘差(含台北市)</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 05:39 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l221" >行 221：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 221：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>====縣新殘差(含台北市)====</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>====縣新殘差(含台北市)====</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_縣市殘差圖.png&#039; width=600 height=400 /&gt;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_縣市殘差圖.png&#039; width=600 height=400 /&gt;</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">&lt;br/&gt;</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_縣市殘差排名.png&#039; width=600 height=400 /&gt;</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11051:rev-11052 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11051&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T05:34:36Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">取線性回歸</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 05:34 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l218" >行 218：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 218：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* 排除臺北市</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* 排除臺北市</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* R&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;=0.9941</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* R&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;=0.9941</div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"></ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">====縣新殘差(含台北市)====</ins></div></td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/推估台北市規模_縣市殘差圖.png&#039; width=600 height=400 /&gt;</ins></div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11050:rev-11051 --> </table>

丁志仁 http://twees.info/alWiki/index.php?title=%E6%8E%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E7%9A%84%E6%95%99%E8%82%B2%E9%A0%90%E7%AE%97%E8%A6%8F%E6%A8%A1&diff=11050&oldid=prev 2026-06-24T05:29:53Z

<p><span dir="auto"><span class="autocomment">取線性回歸</span></span></p> <table class="diff diff-contentalign-left diff-editfont-monospace" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="zh-Hant-TW"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">←上個修訂</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">於 2026年6月24日 (三) 05:29 的修訂</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l204" >行 204：</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">行 204：</td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===取線性回歸===</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===取線性回歸===</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'>−</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;div style=&#039;float:right&#039;&gt;&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/<del class="diffchange diffchange-inline">縣市分析3_回歸線</del>.png&#039; width=500 height=333 /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</div></td><td class='diff-marker'>+</td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>&lt;div style=&#039;float:right&#039;&gt;&lt;img src=&#039;https://urclass.net/files/wikiUsed/<ins class="diffchange diffchange-inline">縣市分析_回歸線</ins>.png&#039; width=500 height=333 /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>用上表計算，排除臺北市後：</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>用上表計算，排除臺北市後：</div></td></tr> <tr><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>:114教育經費(億元)=5.0599+6.3121×(公保+勞保)(億元)</div></td><td class='diff-marker'> </td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>:114教育經費(億元)=5.0599+6.3121×(公保+勞保)(億元)</div></td></tr> <!-- diff cache key alWiki:diff::1.12:old-11049:rev-11050 --> </table>

丁志仁